MachineSex/figures
Giorgio Gilestro 01d87e504f E13: real-weight model speciation — the Git Re-Basin residual confirms E12
The real-weight image of E12, and the answer to the mode-connectivity reviewer.
Small no-BN MLPs on MNIST, forked from a shared base and trained independently,
are weight-averaged; we measure the linear-mode-connectivity barrier before and
after in-house deterministic Git Re-Basin permutation alignment (neural/rebasin.py,
scipy linear_sum_assignment), decomposing it into removable (coordinate artefact)
and residual (reproductive isolation). kind: speciation_real.

Result (3 reps):
- shared (same task, shared fork): no barrier — trivially mergeable.
- independent (same task, different init): naive 0.056, alignment removes 98%
  (residual 0.001) — the incompatibility is a coordinate artefact.
- conflict (conflicting label maps): naive 0.496, alignment removes 0% (residual
  0.496) — genuine reproductive isolation. Because alignment demonstrably works on
  the independent case, the conflict residual is real, not a failure to align.
- Isolation cliff (speciation_real_cliff): residual rises 0.00->0.13->0.19->0.28->
  0.40->0.49 with the fraction of conflicting classes — the real-weight mirror of
  E12's cliff; residual==naive throughout (functional, not coordinate).

rebasin.py sanity-gated (recovers a known permutation exactly). plot_speciation_real.py
(2-panel), +4 pure-NumPy tests (142 green), README with honest positioning vs
Git Re-Basin / Entezari / Frankle / Pari 2024 / Zhou 2026. Wired into make mnist
(needs torchvision).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-09 00:19:04 +01:00
..
_figlib.py Layer 1 core: Wright-Fisher knowledge-transmission model with E1-E2 2026-07-04 18:10:18 +02:00
mnist_montage.py neural: real-MNIST external-validity tier (collapse + grounding) 2026-07-05 09:19:36 +01:00
plot_architectures.py neural: grounding refinement + all five Layer-1.5 figures 2026-07-05 08:14:19 +01:00
plot_bridge.py neural: grounding refinement + all five Layer-1.5 figures 2026-07-05 08:14:19 +01:00
plot_collapse.py neural: grounding refinement + all five Layer-1.5 figures 2026-07-05 08:14:19 +01:00
plot_E1.py Layer 1 core: Wright-Fisher knowledge-transmission model with E1-E2 2026-07-04 18:10:18 +02:00
plot_E2.py Layer 1 complete: E3-E6 + E2 analysis add-ons 2026-07-04 18:54:42 +02:00
plot_E3.py Layer 1 complete: E3-E6 + E2 analysis add-ons 2026-07-04 18:54:42 +02:00
plot_E4.py Layer 1 complete: E3-E6 + E2 analysis add-ons 2026-07-04 18:54:42 +02:00
plot_E5.py Layer 1 complete: E3-E6 + E2 analysis add-ons 2026-07-04 18:54:42 +02:00
plot_E6.py Layer 1 complete: E3-E6 + E2 analysis add-ons 2026-07-04 18:54:42 +02:00
plot_E7.py society: multi-locus recombination frame — the vertical claim (E7/E8) 2026-07-05 10:51:41 +01:00
plot_E8.py society: multi-locus recombination frame — the vertical claim (E7/E8) 2026-07-05 10:51:41 +01:00
plot_E9.py society: make the sexual-transmission model rigorous (E9 epistasis, E10 directed sex) 2026-07-05 11:13:37 +01:00
plot_E10.py society: make the sexual-transmission model rigorous (E9 epistasis, E10 directed sex) 2026-07-05 11:13:37 +01:00
plot_E11.py society: the dynamic Lamarckian society — the vertical claim (E11 / C3) 2026-07-05 12:34:01 +01:00
plot_E12.py E12: model speciation — the merge-compatibility limit of the sexual society 2026-07-08 22:40:02 +01:00
plot_grounding.py neural: grounding refinement + all five Layer-1.5 figures 2026-07-05 08:14:19 +01:00
plot_kernel.py knowledge: learning kernel — model the estimator bias, not just sampling 2026-07-05 10:23:33 +01:00
plot_llm_directed.py llm_directed: directed sex (breed offspring + select on verifier) — E10 in real weights 2026-07-05 18:35:04 +01:00
plot_llm_merge.py llm_merge_hpc: the 7B firm-up makes the Fisher-Muller sign decisive 2026-07-05 17:32:51 +01:00
plot_llm_moe.py llm_moe: the union operator (route/max-merge) vs fusion — and the regime flips at scale 2026-07-05 17:53:47 +01:00
plot_mnist.py neural: real-MNIST external-validity tier (collapse + grounding) 2026-07-05 09:19:36 +01:00
plot_recombination.py neural: grounding refinement + all five Layer-1.5 figures 2026-07-05 08:14:19 +01:00
plot_speciation_real.py E13: real-weight model speciation — the Git Re-Basin residual confirms E12 2026-07-09 00:19:04 +01:00