"""E6 figure: the re-minting gate and irreversibility. Re-minting freezes the current distribution as the new grounding reference and discards the original truth. Re-minting a collapsed lineage locks in the collapse: KL to the original truth diverges, because the lost original tails can no longer be grounded. Gating re-mint on diversity refuses to re-mint while collapsed and keeps KL bounded; re-minting a healthy lineage is harmless. Usage: python figures/plot_figS3_rebaselining.py [results/figS3_rebaselining] """ from __future__ import annotations import sys from pathlib import Path import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import numpy as np sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).parent)) from _figlib import load_bundle, savefig, letter_axes # noqa: E402 STYLE = { "healthy_remint": ("#2ca02c", "re-mint while healthy (H high)"), "collapsed_remint": ("#d62728", "re-mint while collapsed (ungated)"), "collapsed_gated": ("#1f77b4", "collapsed + diversity gate"), "collapsed_noremint": ("#7f7f7f", "collapsed, no re-mint (baseline)"), } def main(results_dir: str = "results/figS3_rebaselining") -> None: df, cfg = load_bundle(results_dir) period = cfg["dynamics"]["remint"]["period"] G = cfg["generations"] remint_gens = list(range(period, G + 1, period)) fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(13, 4.6)) # Panel 1: forward KL to the ORIGINAL truth ax = axes[0] for arm, (c, lab) in STYLE.items(): s = df[df["arm"] == arm].groupby("generation")["forward_kl"] mean, sem = s.mean(), s.sem() ax.plot(mean.index, mean.values, color=c, label=lab) ax.fill_between(mean.index, mean - 1.96 * sem, mean + 1.96 * sem, color=c, alpha=0.15) for g in remint_gens: ax.axvline(g, ls=":", color="k", lw=0.8, alpha=0.5) ax.set(xlabel="generation", ylabel=r"forward KL to original truth", title="Re-minting while collapsed locks in divergence") ax.legend(frameon=False, fontsize=8) # Panel 2: heterozygosity (which arms are collapsed; gate reads this) ax = axes[1] gate = None for arm, (c, lab) in STYLE.items(): s = df[df["arm"] == arm].groupby("generation")["heterozygosity"].mean() ax.plot(s.index, s.values, color=c, label=lab) # draw the gate threshold used by the gated arm for v in cfg["sweep"][0]["values"]: if v["name"] == "collapsed_gated": gate = v["set"].get("dynamics.remint.H_gate") if gate is not None: ax.axhline(gate, ls="--", color="k", lw=1) ax.annotate(f"gate H={gate}", (G * 0.02, gate + 0.02), fontsize=8) for g in remint_gens: ax.axvline(g, ls=":", color="k", lw=0.8, alpha=0.5) ax.set(xlabel="generation", ylabel="heterozygosity $H$", title="Diversity at re-mint time (the gate reads this)") ax.legend(frameon=False, fontsize=8) fig.tight_layout() letter_axes(fig) savefig(fig, results_dir, "figS3_rebaselining") if __name__ == "__main__": main(*sys.argv[1:])