E13b/c: harden real-weight speciation — full symmetry group + emergent-divergence null

E13c (the symmetry defense): alignment now runs modulo the FULL
function-preserving unit symmetry group of a ReLU MLP (per-unit positive
rescaling via canonicalise_scale, composed with Re-Basin permutations;
sanity gate recovers a permuted-and-rescaled copy exactly). Verdict: the
full group removes the independent-init barrier (residual 0.001) and
essentially none of the conflict barrier (0.502 -> 0.497) — the residual
is functional, not a missed symmetry (answers arXiv:2606.23607). The
cliff gains a hybrid-fitness readout: merged accuracy 0.97 -> 0.03 with
conflict. Floor proposition drafted (paper/si-notes.md S1): endpoint
invariance + max(eps_A, eps_B) >= mu(S)/2 for any merged model under any
alignment group.

E13b (emergent divergence): pre-registered second reading — with NO
conflicting training signal (disjoint class specialists; rolled-input
conventions), residual is 0.000 at every divergence to t_div=3200, and
the merge RESCUES the forgetting specialists (parents 0.535/0.474 ->
merged 0.955; a sustained Fisher-Muller rescue at zero barrier).
Speciation in real weights requires functional conflict; it does not
emerge from compatible specialisation on shared ancestry. LLM-scale
over-specialisation (cf. 2607.11997) deferred to Phase-3 llm_speciation.

3-panel figure, READMEs, +2 tests (149 green), make mnist wired.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01BkRLcc18rwT2Lysu6PbG7v

src/neural/speciation_real.py

@@ -15,9 +15,20 @@ empirical question this experiment answers:
 - ``conflict`` — the children learn *conflicting* label maps (B's labels cyclically shifted):
   genuinely incompatible functions on shared capacity. A large barrier that alignment *cannot* remove
   (residual stays high) — true reproductive isolation. "Different species."
+- ``disjoint`` (E13b, *emergent* divergence) — child A keeps training only on classes 0–4, child B only
+  on 5–9: no contradiction anywhere (a true Dobzhansky–Muller setting — each lineage's changes are
+  harmless alone). Does a residual barrier *emerge* with divergence, without imposed conflict? And does
+  the *merged* model first rescue the two forgetting specialists (Fisher–Muller) then fail (speciation)
+  as divergence grows — E12's compatible → depression → inviability curve, emergent in real weights?
+- ``augment`` (E13b, conventions) — same task and labels, but A trains on images rolled +3 px and B on
+  images rolled −3 px: representational conventions drift with zero output conflict.
 
 The discriminating metric is the **residual** (barrier after alignment): ~0 for ``shared`` and
 ``independent`` (compatible — the incompatibility, if any, is coordinate), large for ``conflict``.
+Alignment is reported at two levels (E13c): permutation-only (Git Re-Basin, ``residual``) and
+**scale-canonicalised + permutation** (``residual_scale``) — the *full* function-preserving unit
+symmetry group of a plain ReLU MLP — so the residual cannot be attributed to a symmetry the aligner
+missed (cf. arXiv:2606.23607). Merged-model (midpoint) accuracies are recorded alongside the barriers.
 
 Divergence is swept via post-fork training steps ``t_div``. Small no-BatchNorm MLPs on MNIST — the clean
 Re-Basin regime. Statistically reproducible (seeded); NumPy/scipy alignment is deterministic.
@@ -30,7 +41,7 @@ from typing import Any, Mapping
 import numpy as np
 import pandas as pd
 
-from .rebasin import apply_perms, barrier, weight_matching
+from .rebasin import apply_perms, barrier, canonicalise_scale, interpolate, weight_matching
 from .train import seed_everything
 
 
@@ -114,10 +125,19 @@ def run_speciation_real(cfg: Mapping[str, Any], seed: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
             y2[ytr == int(c)] = int(c2)
         return y2
 
+    def _rolled(px):
+        """Images shifted horizontally by ``px`` pixels (a representational convention; labels intact)."""
+        return torch.roll(Xtr.reshape(-1, 28, 28), shifts=px, dims=2).reshape(-1, 784)
+
     def subset(cond, child, conflict_frac):
         """(X, y) the child trains on for a given condition."""
         if cond == "conflict" and child == 1:
             return Xtr, _conflict_labels(conflict_frac)         # B learns a conflicting label map
+        if cond == "disjoint":                                  # emergent DMI: disjoint, compatible tasks
+            mask = (ytr < 5) if child == 0 else (ytr >= 5)
+            return Xtr[mask], ytr[mask]
+        if cond == "augment":                                   # emergent conventions: same task, shifted views
+            return _rolled(3 if child == 0 else -3), ytr
         return Xtr, ytr                                         # shared / independent / conflict-A: normal task
 
     # Two modes: (1) conditions x t_div decomposition; (2) a conflict-fraction isolation cliff.
@@ -150,16 +170,36 @@ def run_speciation_real(cfg: Mapping[str, Any], seed: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
             pA, pB = children
             probe = _mlp(sizes, device); loss_fn = make_loss_fn(probe)
             b_naive = barrier(pA, pB, loss_fn)
+            # E13: permutation-only alignment (Git Re-Basin) — the coordinate artefact.
             perms = weight_matching(pA, pB, np.random.default_rng(ss + 5))
-            b_aligned = barrier(pA, apply_perms(pB, perms), loss_fn)
+            pB_perm = apply_perms(pB, perms)
+            b_aligned = barrier(pA, pB_perm, loss_fn)
+            # E13c: scale-canonicalise both, then match — the FULL ReLU unit symmetry group, so the
+            # residual cannot be blamed on a symmetry the aligner missed (arXiv:2606.23607).
+            cA, cB = canonicalise_scale(pA), canonicalise_scale(pB)
+            perms_c = weight_matching(cA, cB, np.random.default_rng(ss + 5))
+            cB_al = apply_perms(cB, perms_c)
+            b_scale = barrier(cA, cB_al, loss_fn)
+            # E13b money curve: the merged (midpoint) model vs its parents on the full task.
             accA, accB = 1 - loss_fn(pA)[1], 1 - loss_fn(pB)[1]
+            acc_mid_naive = 1 - loss_fn(interpolate(pA, pB, 0.5))[1]
+            acc_mid_aligned = 1 - loss_fn(interpolate(pA, pB_perm, 0.5))[1]
+            acc_mid_scale = 1 - loss_fn(interpolate(cA, cB_al, 0.5))[1]
             rows.append({
                 "condition": cond, "t_div": t_div, "conflict_frac": conflict_frac, "replicate": rep,
                 "barrier_naive": b_naive["error_barrier"],
                 "barrier_aligned": b_aligned["error_barrier"],
                 "removable": b_naive["error_barrier"] - b_aligned["error_barrier"],
                 "residual": b_aligned["error_barrier"],
+                "barrier_aligned_scale": b_scale["error_barrier"],
+                "removable_scale": b_naive["error_barrier"] - b_scale["error_barrier"],
+                "residual_scale": b_scale["error_barrier"],
                 "loss_barrier_naive": b_naive["loss_barrier"],
                 "loss_barrier_aligned": b_aligned["loss_barrier"],
+                "loss_barrier_scale": b_scale["loss_barrier"],
+                "acc_parent_a": accA, "acc_parent_b": accB,
+                "acc_merge_naive": acc_mid_naive,
+                "acc_merge_aligned": acc_mid_aligned,
+                "acc_merge_scale": acc_mid_scale,
                 "parent_acc": (accA + accB) / 2.0})
     return pd.DataFrame(rows)